Jeff Mahomes already carries lofty expectations heading into the season. Props have him projected for over 4,050 passing yards and at least 27.5 passing touchdowns, figures that echo his MVP-caliber campaigns—though his recent sharp decline in deep passing efficiency has raised some eyebrows among analysts.

Kaylor’s picks also include bold team-level bets: Kansas City is anticipated to record a passing touchdown in every one of its 17 regular-season games, an achievement rare in today’s NFL and priced attractively at +700. Meanwhile, George Karlaftis—a major investment for the defense—has been projected to hit 10+ sacks this year following a breakout contract extension.

Though the Chiefs fell short in Super Bowl LIX, time remains on Mahomes’ side. Now fully healthy and backed by a revamped offensive front featuring Jaylon Moore and first-round rookie Josh Simmons, the offense appears built to support Mahomes’ return to top-tier form.

Defense too is being counted on to step up. Analysts expect enhanced pass-rush depth from players like Karlaftis, Mike Danna, Omarr Norman‑Lott, and Ashton Gillotte—key to restoring a pressure-oriented identity last seen in their early championship years.

That said, some prognosticators remain cautious. Although Mahomes remains elite, doubts persist over the sustainability of those gaudy stats given drops in deep pass completion percentage and lower touchdown rate in recent seasons. Still, with projected futures offering high return potential—like Mahomes hitting every game with a passing TD or Karlaftis surpassing double-digit sacks—bettors see enticing upside in backing the Chiefs’ championship resurgence.