This overlooked draft stat proves the Chiefs had a monster weekend

Bản dự thảo NFL 2025 - Vòng 1

The 2025 NFL Draft is in the books, and the Kansas City Chiefs have received good grades for their draft class from most of the NFL media. The general consensus is that the Chiefs both filled some needs and got good value with their picks in the process. Draft rankings and grades are definitely subjective, but one way to take individual bias out of the equation is by looking at consensus rankings.

For the last several years, Arif Hasan has put together the best known consensus big board. Having invested so much time into the consensus big borad, Hasan decided that instead of joining the large number of NFL media members assigning subjective draft grades, he would instead figures up each team’s “Return on Investment” based on where they picked and where the players they took ranked on the consensus big board.

Basically, Hasan assigns a point value to each draft slot (similar to an NFL draft trade chart). He then assigns matching point values to the players on the big board. So, the first overall pick and the top player on the big board would have the same point values—same for the second overall pick and the number two player on the big board, and so on. Then he adds up the total points of each team’s draft pick slots and the players they picked and figures out a percentage for their return on investment.

How did the Chiefs 2025 draft class rank using the consensus big board?

Using Hasan’s point system, the seven draft pick slots where the Chiefs made their picks had a value of 4,699 points. With those seven picks, they took players who were worth 4,921 points based on their rankings on the consensus big board. That gave the Chiefs a return on investment of 104.7%, which ranked 7th highest in the 2025 NFL Draft. The Chiefs were one of only ten teams to end up with more points for their players taken than the point value of the picks they used to take them.

Even if you didn’t love the Chiefs’ draft or had issues with a pick or two, it’s hard to argue with that value. While we won’t truly know what picks had the best value until these players take the field in the NFL, all we have to go on right now is what people who scout NFL prospects thought of the players taken. While not all experts are going to agree, the consensus rankings give you an unbiased average for a player—and collectively, the Chiefs took players that were a good value.

The Chiefs ranked among the NFL’s best in draft value by playing the board smartly and sticking to the consensus.

I also find it interesting that you can sort the results by total points gained. That obviously slants the results toward teams with more picks and earlier picks. Despite picking at the very back of each round and not having a bunch of extra picks, the Chiefs still added the 17th most “player points” (4,921) to their roster. They did that with the 21st most draft slot points (4,699).

For comparison, the Denver Broncos had a similar amount of draft slot points (4,618) but only added 3,669 points worth of players based on the consensus big board. So while the Chiefs got a 104.7% return on their pick investments, the Broncos only got a 79.4% return on theirs.

Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Raiders had significantly more points worth of picks—with a whopping 7,130 points because they had 11 picks and picked earlier in the draft order. They landed 6,295 points of players with those picks. So on one hand, they added 1,374 more points worth of players than the Chiefs did, but they only got an 88.3% return on their investment.

It’s an interesting way of looking at draft results, and I highly encourage you to check out Hasan’s work for yourself. Along with the return on investment rankings, there’s also an interesting breakdown of how “reaches” and “steals” versus the consensus big board have turned out over the years. The short version: it isn’t a good idea to take someone drastically earlier than the consensus big board says, and those so-called “steals” based on the consensus big board may not be steals after all. Again, I highly recommend giving the entire piece a read.

When looking at these results and the players that KC ended up with, it’s hard not to be impressed. As the draft was happening, I was admittedly disappointed at times when they didn’t draft the positions or players I wanted in those slots. However, based on the consensus board, Brett Veach and company played the board just right—because they eventually filled those positions with value players in later rounds.

So what do you think Chiefs fans? Do you agree with these consensus board results? Do you find Arif Hasan’s work as interesting as I do? I’d love to read your thoughts in the comments below.

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