The Heat’s scouting staff, led by vice president/basketball operations Adam Simon, has scattered around the country this month, closely studying prospects amid the possibility that the Heat might own two first-round picks in June’s NBA Draft.
(Miami will keep its own pick if it misses the playoffs and will get the Warriors’ selection if it’s outside the top 10.)
Against that backdrop, Saturday night in Philadelphia crystallized all the good that can happen when teams get those picks right.
Center Kel’el Ware has delivered more than a dozen impactful games since becoming a starter in mid-January and fellow rookie Pelle Larsson has had his moments in more sporadic playing time.
But never have the Heat’s two rookie draft picks looked as good, in the same game, as Saturday’s 118-95 drubbing of Philadelphia.
Ware flashed his tantalizing skill set with 13 points, 14 rebounds and two blocks, while making all six of his shots.
In the third start of his career, Larsson was a defensive dynamo on one end (four steals, two blocks) and had a role in 25 points on the other end, with 14 points and four assists (including three threes), to go with six rebounds in 30 minutes.
Larsson seemingly has supplanted 2023 Heat first-round pick Jaime Jaquez Jr. as the wing of choice when Andrew Wiggins is sidelined by injury. Wiggins remains out with a hamstring issue.
With Larsson, the Heat can always expect hustle plays, defensive grit and an ability to blend in on offense. But what he produced on Saturday was far more, the type of across-the-board production that could lead to a rotation role next season if he can repeat it in the season’s final few weeks and grow his game this summer.
“He’s really an interesting young guy,” Erik Spoelstra said, after Larsson won a game as a starter for the first time.
“Pelle is just an ignitable player. He makes things happen – the steals, the deflections, the hard plays. Those are momentum shifting plays that he has a knack for. He spends so much time in the gym that the rest of his game is getting better — the playmaking, shooting, the facilitating.”
Spoelstra said Larsson is already an “elite role player.” Whether he becomes something more or not, he has validated his selection at 44.
As for Ware, there have been stretches where the need to get better – and get bigger – couldn’t be clearer, particularly when he was schooled by the Clippers’ Ivica Zubac during the recent 10-game losing streak.
But there have been more than enough promising snapshots like Saturday – when he rebounded with zeal and showed a feathery touch around the basket – to leave the organization bullish on his future.
“I love what he’s doing,” Spoelstra said Saturday night. “Number one, he’s glass eating. He has such a knack for rebounding over a crowd. He does rebound in traffic, too. There’s a lot of contact down there. He finds a way to come up with it. He’s helping our offense in terms of being a connector, a screener. There will be games the ball will find him where he has a 25 point game.
“He’s showing maturity right now, playing winning basketball, helping our offense excel in the minutes he’s on the court. That’s notable for a young guy. That’s maturity.”
His 12th double double on Saturday tied the Pelicans’ Yves Missi for the lead among NBA rookies. He’s second among rookies in rebounding at 7.1, behind only Missi’s 8.6.
Among all NBA players — not just rookies — Ware is 18th in blocks per 36 minutes and 20th in rebounds per 36. He leads four-time Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert in both categories.
A sure sign that your team drafted well is not regretting decisions to bypass several players picked later. In that regard, the Ware and Larsson selections have measured up.
In the case of No. 15 pick Ware, only one player selected after him in the first round outplayed him: Guard Jared McCain, who was picked one spot after Ware and averaged 15.3 points in 23 games for the 76ers before a season-ending MCL injury in December. But for all of McCain’s offensive gifts, Ware’s size and rim deterrence offer the possibility for something more.
Of the other 14 first-rounders selected after Ware (who’s averaging 9.1 points), only Lakers guard/No. 17 pick Dalton Knecht (9.3 points, 37.2 shooting on threes) and No. 21 selection Missi (9.0 points) have had similar production to Ware’s work since his role expanded in mid-January.
But Missi, 6-11, is 0 for 1 on threes, while the 7-0 Ware is 32 for 101, displaying the type of range that makes NBA bigs more valuable in the modern era.
Besides the aforementioned, three other first-rounders picked after Ware have started 30-plus games and been generally solid: Orlando’s Tristan da Silva (selected 18th), the Suns’ Ryan Dunn (28th) and Utah’s Isaiah Collier (29th), who is averaging 6.1 assists but also 3.0 turnovers and shooting 25 percent on threes. None has the upside of Ware.
The other first-rounders picked after Ware have had limited roles or modest production – Toronto’s Ja’Kobe Walter, Cleveland’s Jaylon Tyson, Washington’s KJ Johnson and Kyshawn George, the Knicks’ Dacome Dadiet, OKC’s Dillon Jones and Minnesota’s Terrence Shannon Jr. (In the case of Tyson and Jones, their limited role is a reflection of the quality of their teams.) Denver’s DaRon Holmes has missed the season with a knee injury.
As for No. 44 pick Larsson, only one player drafted after him has been significantly better: Golden State center Quinten Post, the 52nd overall selection who is averaging 8.7 points and shooting 42.9 percent on threes.
Toronto’s Jamal Shead — who was picked one spot after Larsson and is averaging 6.8 points and 3.9 assists — also has been better than the 6-5 Larsson. But Shead, who’s 6 feet even, must shoot threes far more efficiently than his current 33 percent to become an NBA starter. If he doesn’t, Larsson projects as the better NBA player.
Where things stand
The Heat enters Monday’s 7 p.m. game at Washington standing 10th in the East; the No. 9 Bulls have the same record (33-41) but have clinched the tiebreaker with Miami.
Spoelstra, on how the team has followed a 10-game skid with a four-game winning streak: “Our guys love to compete. I said this while we were losing games: We all felt alive. Our locker room felt alive. We felt alive from the competition, from the challenge and how frustrating it was.
“If you’re in those circumstances, that can also make you feel dead; that was not the case with this group. There is a competitive character with this group. It’s a group that wants to figure it out, wants to play well for each other and get to another level.
“Guys are having fun with the competition and having these games mean something. We feel like we’re playing for something. It’s not like whatever those narratives are out there. There is something to play for and that’s exciting.”
Besides Wiggins (hamstring), the Heat also will be without Duncan Robinson (back) and Kevin Love (personal reasons) on Monday.