On Sunday afternoon the Philadelphia Eagles took down the Washington Commanders in a dominant 55-23 victory to make the Super Bowl for the second time in the past three seasons.

Just a few hours later, their opponent from Super Bowl LVII, the Kansas City Chiefs, took down the Buffalo Bills by a final score of 32-29 to make their fifth Super Bowl appearance over the past six seasons.

The last time these two teams met, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs hoisted the Lombardi Trophy for the second time in a 38-35 victory.

Immediately after the conference title games came to a close on Sunday night, the early betting line for the Super Bowl favored the Chiefs.

According to ESPN Bet, the Chiefs enter the Big Game as slight 1.5-point favorites. Several ESPN analysts took an early look at the best bets for the game.

Some opted to take either a first touchdown scorer or the yardage totals for certain players, but analyst Seth Walder went bold with an upset pick.

Here’s Walder’s pick from ESPN: I’m backing the team that, by EPA per play, had the better passing offense, rushing offense, passing defense and rushing defense this season — postseason included.

And one that is getting two points! FPI is with me on this, favoring the Eagles by just over two points.

Yes, this means going against the magic of Mahomes in the postseason (which has certainly burned me before — see: last week!), but I’ve never been one to ignore the numbers and I’m not going to start now.

Mahomes is searching for his fourth Super Bowl title in the past six seasons while Jalen Hurts is hoping to capture Lombardi Trophy No. 1.