📅 Match Information

• Date: October 20, 2025

• Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

• Competition: AFC West Division Game

🏈 Head-to-Head & Context

• The Chiefs and Raiders have one of the oldest and fiercest rivalries in the NFL.

• As of Week 7 in the 2025 NFL season, the Chiefs are in solid form, while the Raiders are looking for consistency to stay competitive in the division.

• ESPN win probability: Chiefs 78.5% – Raiders 21.3%

• Dunkel Index projection: Chiefs 29 – Raiders 16 (Chiefs -11.5 spread)

🔍 Predicted Lineups & Injury Updates

Kansas City Chiefs

Notable injuries / absences:

• Josh Simmons (OT) – personal matter, questionable.

• Nazeeh Johnson (S) – shoulder injury, on IR (out).

• Brandon George (LB) – on IR (out).

• Ethan Driskell (OT) – NFI list (non-football injury), out.

• Jake Briningstool (TE) – on IR (out).

• JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR) – ruled out for this game.

• Jaylen Watson (CB) – ankle injury, doubtful.

• Rashee Rice (WR) – completed 6-game suspension and eligible to return in Week 7. His game participation depends on coach decision.

Expected starting lineup:

• QB: Patrick Mahomes

• RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire / Isiah Pacheco rotation

• WR/TE: Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown, Tyquan Thornton, possibly Rashee Rice

• OL: Adjusted lineup due to injuries to Simmons and Driskell

• Defense: Missing some key depth at safety and linebacker

Las Vegas Raiders

Notable injuries / absences:

• Brock Bowers (TE) – knee injury, questionable.

• Dylan Laube (RB) – hamstring issue, questionable.

• Brennan Jackson (LB) – on IR (out until at least Nov 6).

• Kolton Miller (OT) – ankle injury, on IR (out).

• Lonnie Johnson Jr. (CB) – on IR (out).

Expected starting lineup:

• QB: Geno Smith

• RB: Ashton Jeanty (if Laube can’t go)

• WR: Regular core (no major changes)

• TE: Backup if Bowers sits out

• OL/Defense: Adjusted due to multiple IR absences

  📉 Betting Odds

  • Point spread: Chiefs –11.5

  • Over/Under: 45.5 points

  • ESPN line: Chiefs –10.5

  • Dunkel prediction: Chiefs –11.5, total points Under 45.5

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  🧠 Expert Analysis

  • The Chiefs hold home-field advantage and a deeper roster, making them strong favorites.

  • Rashee Rice’s return could add a boost to the passing game if he quickly integrates.

  • The Raiders’ red-zone efficiency remains a concern—they’ve struggled to convert drives into touchdowns.

  • To have a chance, the Raiders must pressure Mahomes and force short-yardage drives.

  • However, with major injuries on both the offensive line and defense, that will be difficult.

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  ✅ Final Prediction

  • Winner: Kansas City Chiefs

  • Projected Score: Chiefs 30 – Raiders 17

  • Best Bet: Chiefs –10 / –11.5

  • Total Points: Under 45.5